Israellycool

Down Under Punditry in the Middle East

Archive for March, 2006

Last Night’s Terror

Friday, March 31st, 2006

Al-Aqsa Martyrs‚Äô Brigades - part of Mahmoud Abbas’s Fatah party - has claimed responsibility for the vicious terror attack, that has claimed the lives of 4 innocent Israel civilians.

The victims are Ilana and Rafi Levy (both 60) from Kedumim, a 16-year-old boy from Kedumim and a woman of about 20 from the center of the country (both of whom are yet to be identified).

Despite the fact that pictures of the Levy’s are available (and being posted on the Israeli news sites), AP have acted true to form, and posted pictures only of the terrorist and his grieving family.

Therefore, I am posting this picture of the Levy’s, just so you can have a look at their smiling faces, and realize what kind of evil has snuffed out their lives, and the lives of thousands of other innocent people.

The IDF’s response so far involves tightening the closure on Nablus. Predictable complaints about this very limited response will no doubt follow shortly.

Update: The other victims have now been identified as Raot Feldman (20) of Herzeliya, and Shaked Lesker (16).

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Tags: terror attacks

Israellycool Podcast #42: Glenn, Helen, and Elections

Friday, March 31st, 2006
On this week’s show, I first talk to Instapundit Glenn Reynolds and Insta-wife Dr Helen Smith, about blogging, podcasting, and Israel…as well as those rumors. Then I discuss this week’s Israeli elections and analyze the results.

You can listen directly to the podcast here, and add it to iTunes here.

For the entire show notes, including all the show-related links, you can go to my podcast website.

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Final Election Results..Finally

Friday, March 31st, 2006

Now that the ballots of soldiers, the handicapped, prisoners and hospital patients have been counted, the final election results are:

Kadima : 29 (+1)
Labor: 20
Likud: 12 (+1)
Shas: 12 (-1)
Israel Our Home: 11 (-1)
NU-NRP: 9
Gil (Pensioners): 7
United Torah Judaism: 6
Meretz: 5 (+1)
United Arab List-Ta’al: 3 (-1)
Ra’am: 3
Hadash: 3

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Ynet: Election Results to Change

Thursday, March 30th, 2006
Ynet report that the current election results are about to significantly change.
Reported elections results about to change – significantly: Now, with the “double-enveloped” ballots of soldiers, the handicapped, prisoners and hospital patients counted, for five parties the new results are about to deviate significantly from the numbers initially reported, Ynet has learned.
 
According to the new count, six parties are about to lose or gain mandates relative to what the announced results have been thus far. The affected parties are: Kadima, Likud, Meretz, Shas, Israel Our Home and United Arab List-Ta’al.
 
The apparent new result is based on initial calculations, prior to the application of the Bader-Ofer Law, which apportions seats for the parties’ excess votes after the seats have been divided up.
 
The final, official results are expected to be announced later Thursday evening.

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Tags: Israel

Jill Caroll Released

Thursday, March 30th, 2006
Great news today, with American hostage Jill Carroll being released in Iraq after nearly three months in captivity.
 
Blogger Natasha, who is a friend of Jill’s, has been following her predicament since day one, and is now posting about Jill’s release.

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PBS on Israeli Election Live Blogging

Thursday, March 30th, 2006
Mark Glaser from PBS has a post on how he turned to blogs for coverage of the Israeli Elections. He kindly mentions Israellycool:
But Abbey’s work looks spare compared to other Israeli bloggers who took on live-blogging duty on March 28. Israellycool, a blog penned by an Australian man named Dave who’s living in Israel, offers a minute-by-minute account of the day, from 8:40 am until 11:50 pm. Dave included details on everything from the low voter turnout to a case of bird flu on an Israeli kibbutz to various attempts by the big political parties to get out the vote.
Allison also gets a mention for her fantastic blogging over election day.
 
You might also recognize the cute guy in the picture accompanying the story.

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How to Protect Your Car in Liverpool

Wednesday, March 29th, 2006

Not a bad idea.

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Caption Contest

Wednesday, March 29th, 2006
Submit a caption to this AP photo in the comments. Winners announced Sunday.
 
 
My contribution:
“Come here often?”

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Post-Election Headline of the Day

Wednesday, March 29th, 2006
..is this one from the Jerusalem Post, regarding the success of the Gil (Pensioner’s) Party:
 

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The Morning After

Wednesday, March 29th, 2006
With 99.67% of the votes counted, here are the overall results:
 
Kadima: 28
Labor: 20
Shas: 13
Israel Our Home: 12
Likud: 11
National Union-NRP: 9
Pensioners party: 7
United Torah Judaism: 6
Meretz: 4
Arab parties: 10

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Israeli Election Day Coverage - Liveblogging

Tuesday, March 28th, 2006
The pollling stations opened at 7.00AM Israel time.

I will be providing updates during the day.

 
Updates (Most recent at top)

11.50PM: I’m calling it a night. I hope you enjoyed the Israellycool coverage of the elections today. See you again tomorrow.

11.45PM: Bibi is staying on as Likud leader.

11.40PM: According to the Ha’aretz news ticker, former Labor leader and PM Ehud Barak has congratulated Amir Peretz, saying “I congratulate Amir Peretz for preserving Labor`s strength.” The cynic (realist) in me wonders what Barak wants from Peretz.

11.35PM:
Boy, did the Diaspora Jews get it wrong.

11.20PM:
Alan Abbey has live-blogged some of the party’s reactions to the results (while I was off trying to keep myself awake).

Bibi (Likud): “We have no doubt Likud has taken a bad hit….Our former leader (AA: Ariel Sharon - not mentioned by name) left us…and left us in a hard place with a lot of hard work to do….Likud’s job is to save the country.”

Lieberman (Yisrael Beiteinu, one of tonight’s winners): “I want to bless all our workers, friends, all the people who came to help us with this victory…. New immigrants and veterans, religious and secular….Next time we’ll lead the government.”

11.15PM:
The major conclusions to be drawn from the election (Ynet):
- Kadima will likely form the next government, but would not be as powerful as it had hoped
- The Likud has collapsed, and may end up as the fifth-largest party overall
- Avigdor Lieberman’s Israel Our Home has become the third largest party
- The Pensioners’ party scored a major surprise with a much higher total than expected
- The 17th Knesset may be one of the most split ones in history and would likely feature a fragile coalition

11.05PM: Definitely a victory for the center-left bloc, with 62-66 seats, while the Right got 48-51. I have to say that I did not pick it; I thought that the Right would do far better. The big surprises were the relatively good showing of Labor, the magnitude of Likud’s fall from grace, and the performance of the Pensioner’s party.

11.02PM: The voter turnout rate was 63.2%, the lowest ever.

11.00PM:
Vital Perspective have the full exit poll comparisons in table form.

10.00PM: Here are the exit poll results:
Channel 2 exit poll: Kadima 32 seats, Labor 22, Likud 11
Channel 1 exit poll: Kadima 29 seats, Labor 22, Yisrael Beiteinu 14
Channel 10 exit poll: Kadima 31 seats, Labor 20, Likud 12

9.45PM:
Channel 1 are saying that Labor’s Amir Peretz may be the surprise of the elections.

9.38PM: We interrupt this election coverage to report that the dreaded bird flu has been found on a Kibbutz near Jerusalem.

9.35PM: Bad results likely for Likud, as Likud officials are already saying that they will investigate the “fall” of the party (Hebrew link).

9.25PM: Kadima officials acknowledge that they may have to give portfolios to Labor candidates (Hebrew link). This is an indication that Labor will likely be part of the coalition.

9.18PM:
Channel 1 reported that 25,000 people visited nature reserves in the north today.

9.10PM: Now a voting message from Ramallah.

9.00PM: I just heard someone over a loudspeaker outside my house. I wasn’t sure whether he was imploring people to vote or not to vote.

8.55PM: Remember the busload of right wing activists headed for Nazareth, who were detained? (see 5.00PM update). Arutz Sheva report that they intended to try to prevent ballot-stuffing in areas that have been accused of such in the past.

8.52PM: Take it from me. These will be the first people to bitch and moan when the government’s composition is not as they like.

8.45PM: More panic from the “big” parties: now Labor are sending out emails, imploring people to vote (Hebrew link). So if you get an email from “Amir Peretz”, don’t immediately write it off as a type of Nigerian scam email.

8.28PM:

Israeli television is reporting that by 8PM, there was only 57% voter

turnout - still the lowest in Israeli election history (compared to

62.8% at this time in the 2003 elections).

8.22PM: More details

on the Katyusha attack from Gaza. The rocket was 122 millimeters in

diameter, and was fired from northern Gaza, landing south of Ashkelon.

This is the first time that a terror organization in Gaza has used this

type of Katyusha rocket in an attack. I think the terrorists are trying

to tell us something here.

By the way, the Katyusha originates from Iran. Just saying.

8.17PM
:

Palestinians are still trying to boost the Right bloc parties: Security

officials have stated that palestinians have fired the first Katyusha

from Gaza (AP).

8.15PM: Ha’aretz report

that Kadima has had to send “activists to aid Russian immigrant voters

in distinguishing between Kadima’s ballot symbol and the similar symbol

of the pro-marijuana legalization Green Leaf party.” Cool, man.

8.05PM: This Hebrew report says that tens of the anti-Zionist Charedim are fighting tens of Gur Hasidim

who support the elections, in Ramat Beit Shemesh. If I had the patience

to be stuck in traffic, I would go over there now and see it first hand.

8.02PM: The Elections Committee predict that if the trend continues, voter turnout will not exceed 60% (it was 68.9% in the 2003 elections). 

8.00PM: There are still anti-Zionist “ultra-Orthodox” people blocking the entrance to polling stations in Beit Shemesh.

7.52PM: You can now add “web site hacking” to the reported election-related incidents. A hacker has broken into the Shas website (Hebrew link).

7.50PM: 54% of IDF soldiers have voted so far.

7.48PM:

Driving in to Beit Shemesh tonight, there was a lot of congestion

around the polling stations. I predict that there will be a lot of last

minute voting; whether or not it raises the voter turnout rate above

that of the last elections is another story.

7.45PM: And here’s another report on the rise of the Gil party.

7.40PM: Power to the pensioners: one of the big stories that could come out of this election could be the success of Gil (Pensioner’s Party).

7.30PM: As of 6PM, the voter turnout rate was 47% (compared to 52.8% at this time in the 2003 elections). 

6.05PM:

More good news for the Right bloc: According to the Ha’aretz news

ticker, the Yesha Council leader expects 80-90% voter turnout among

“settlers.”

6.00PM: YNet (Hebrew) reports

that the prisoner voter turnout is at 77%, way above the general voter

turnout. Maybe prisoners appreciate their rights more. (Arutz Sheva

have a conflicting report).

5.55PM: Allison comments on a report about

the many Israeli Arabs not voting: “The stupidest non-voters, in my

opinion, are Israeli Arabs. So you feel powerless and helpless and

downtrodden. Is the smart move to take the tiny little bit of power and

influence you have and throw it away? I don’t think so.”

5.40PM: You can now add “fraudulent voting” to the reported election-related incidents. If that happened to me, I would be well and truly pissed.

5.20PM: Kadima and Likud are trading barbs.
Kadima: Likud are conspiring to hide Kadima slips at the polling stations; Likud: Kadima are a big bunch of liars.

5.10PM: Pollster Rafi Smith says that he expects polling to pick up between 5PM and 8PM, the so-called “hotter” hours for voting.

5.00PM: 45 “right-wing” activists on a bus headed to the mostly Arab town of Nazareth have been detained.

They claimed that they were election monitors headed for Nazareth

polling stations; given that they did not have the requisite election

monitor papers, no doubts hilarity would have ensued had they reached

their destination.

4.50PM: You can now add “dummy bomb” to the reported election-related incidents.

4.20PM: Ynet (Hebrew) reports that the turnout is 39%.

4.15PM: Now we know where all the voters are.

4.05PM: There have been 130 election-related “incidents” so far.

4.00PM:

Speaking with work colleagues, the feeling is that Avigdor Lieberman’s

Yisrael Beiteinu party is going to fair very well. The consensus is

that he may get as many as 15 seats. This positive outloook is

reinforced by this report.

 
If so, Kadima may well have to look to the Right bloc to form a coalition.

3.25PM: The low voter turnout has sparked Kadima to send out SOS SMS messages.

3.10PM: More unrest in Ramat Beit Shemesh,

literaly down the road from where I live, as “Charedim”

(ultra-Orthodox) tried to block the polling stations. From the reports

I have seen, these people are part of an anti-Zionist sect who oppose

the State of Israel, much like the Neturei Karta who were recently seen

visiting the President of Iran.

2.55PM: By 2.00PM, voter turnout was still the lowest in Israeli election history - 30.9% compared to 35.3% in 2003.

1.55PM: There have already been a number of inter-party smackdowns today. So much for the elections being boring..

1.50PM: Likud Chairman Binyamin Netanyahu has said that he will remain Likud Chairman, regardless of the election results.

1.30PM: Islamic Jihad have placed their vote for a right-wing government.

12.45PM: 21.7% voter turnout

by noon. This is a vast improvement on the turnout by 10.00AM, which

was a mere 9.9%, but still 3% less than at the same time during

the 2003 elections.

12:40PM: Forget the polls. The “Milkman”

has spoketh. And while he predicts that Kadima will win, he also

predicts that the national-religious camp will do well, causing

headaches for Olmert. Certainly in my neighborhood, many people seemed

to be voting for national-religious parties.

12:30PM: Wow, Yigal Amir voted, this time without using a gun. Lovely.

12.10PM: I guess this occurred at a different polling station than the one I voted at in Beit Shemesh.

12.00PM: Voter turnout by 10.00AM was the lowest in Israeli history. When I cast mine over an hour ago, I noticed that the lines were relatively short.

8.40AM: We are set to go and vote within the next half hour.

Other sources for updates:

 
If you are a blogger covering the election, let me know, and I’ll link to you here.
 
Election Resources
 

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Sleep-Talking Your Way to Divorce

Tuesday, March 28th, 2006

Introducing the “triple talaq”:

A Muslim couple in India have been told by local Islamic leaders they must separate after the husband “divorced” his wife in his sleep, the Press Trust of India reported.
 
Sohela Ansari told friends that her husband Aftab had uttered the word “talaq”, or divorce, three times in his sleep, according to the report published in newspapers today.
 
When local Islamic leaders got to hear, they said Aftab’s words constituted a divorce under an Islamic procedure known as “triple talaq”. The couple, married for 11 years with three children, were told they had to split.

The religious leaders ruled that if the couple wanted to remarry they would have to wait at least 100 days. Sohela would also have to spend a night with another man and be divorced by him in turn.

The couple, who live in the eastern state of West Bengal, have refused to obey the order and the issue has been referred to a local family counselling centre.

India’s minority Muslim population is governed by Islamic personal laws on issues such as marriage, divorce and property inheritance.

“This is a totally unnecessary controversy and the local ‘community leaders’ or whosoever has said it are totally ignorant of Islamic law,” said Zafarul-Islam Khan, an Islamic scholar and editor of The Milli Gazette, a popular Muslim newspaper.

“The law clearly says any action under compulsion or in a state of intoxication has no effect. The case of someone uttering something while asleep falls under this category and will have no impact whatsoever,” Mr Khan said.

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Tags: Islam